Tsis muaj leej twg nyob hauv Amelikas muaj kev ntseeg ntau dua rau kev ywj pheej dua li tus neeg sib tw tua ntev rau kev ua haujlwm rau pej xeem.

Dan Sebring, tus neeg sib tw Republican rau Congress hauv Wisconsin lub District Democratic 4th District hais tias "Yog tias kuv tsis ntseeg tias kuv tuaj yeem yeej, kuv yuav tsis ua nws." “Los ntawm kuv qhov kev xav, muaj lub peev xwm siab heev uas nws tuaj yeem swb. Nws nyob ntawm qhov turnout. "

"Nws" - Sebring tus neeg sib tw thaum Lub Kaum Ib Hlis 4 - yog Rep. Gwen Moore, D-Milwaukee, tus thawj tswj hwm tsib lub sijhawm. Qhov no yog qhov kev xaiv tsa thib plaub uas nws tau tawm tsam nws. Nws qhov kev qhia zoo tshaj plaws yog 30 feem pua, hauv 2010 midterm. Txog rau Lub Xya Hli 23 nws tau nce txog $ 8,000, piv rau Moore tus $ 785,000.

Sebring hais tias nws doggedness tau tshoov siab rau lwm tus, tab sis tsis yog vim li cas nws khiav. Nws xav tias cov pundits uas tso nws txoj hauv kev tsis yog lawm.

Tab sis cov pundits tau ua pov thawj zoo dua li cov neeg sib tw quixotic ntawm kev txiav txim siab xaiv tsa. Thiab ob qhov kev ntseeg siab heev, Cook Political Report thiab Sabato's Crystal Ball, hais tias tsuas yog ib qho ntawm Wisconsin yim lub rooj sib tham hauv lub rooj sib tham tseem tuaj yeem ua si. (Tsis muaj Wisconsin Senate lub rooj xaiv tsa xyoo no.)

Kev sib tw ib leeg yog nyob rau hauv Cheeb Tsam 6, qhov twg GOP xeev Sen. Glenn Grothman thiab Democrat Mark Harris, tus thawj coj hauv Winnebago County, yog viav los hloov Republican Tom Petri, uas tau tuav lub rooj zaum rau 36 xyoo. Thiab txawm tias ntawm no cov pundits twv ua ntej GOP yeej, khaws cia lub xeev faib ntawm tsib Republicans thiab peb Democrats hauv Congress.

Hauv xyoo 2012, tom qab qhov kawg ntawm kev xaiv tsa ib thaj tsam, 6th District cov neeg xaiv tsa tau pom zoo rau Republican cov neeg sib tw rau tus thawj tswj hwm thiab US Senate los ntawm cov npoo ntawm 54 thiab 55 feem pua. Raws li cov ntaub ntawv kawg, Harris tau nce tsuas yog $ 60,000 rau Grothman tus $ 336,000, uas rau Grothman suav nrog kev sib tw nyuaj.

Cov pundits peg lwm xya haiv neeg raws li cov lus xaus uas tau hais tseg - qhov kev txiav txim siab uas cov neeg sib tw tau mob siab rau forego.

"Kuv muaj txoj hauv kev," hais rau Republican Tony Kurtz, uas tawm tsam Democrat Ron Kind hauv Cheeb Tsam 3. Ib tug tub rog qub tub rog 20 xyoo thiab cov neeg ua liaj ua teb organic, Kurtz tau ua haujlwm puv sijhawm txij lub Ib Hlis, tsav tsheb ntau dua 35,000 mais. Nws txaus siab rau nws txoj kev txhawb nqa hauv zej zog thiab txaus siab rau nws qhov kev nrhiav nyiaj txiag tsis ntev los no. Raws li kev tshaj tawm dhau los, Kurtz muaj $ 113,000 rau Kind tus $ 1.6 lab.

Kelly Westlund, tus Democrat uas nyuaj rau Rep. Sean Duffy hauv Cheeb Tsam 7, kuj xav tias nws tuaj yeem yeej. Ib tus tswv lag luam me thiab yav dhau los tus tswv cuab ntawm Ashland City Council, Westlund tau nce ntau dua $ 300,000. Duffy tau nce $ 1.9 lab, ze li ib nrab ntawm pawg tswj hwm kev tswj hwm.

Peb lwm cov Democrats tab tom nyuaj rau GOP incumbents: Rob Zerban tiv thaiv Paul Ryan hauv Cheeb Tsam 1, Chris Rockwood piv rau James Sensenbrenner hauv Cheeb Tsam 5, thiab Ron Gruett piv rau Reid Ribble hauv Cheeb Tsam 8. Thiab Republican Peter Theron tab tom noj Democrat Mark Pocan hauv Cheeb Tsam 2.

Txog tam sim no lub voj voog no, xya tus neeg ua haujlwm tau koom ua ke nce $ 13.9 lab. Lawv cov neeg sib tw tau nce txog $ 1 lab, suav nrog $ 842,000 los ntawm tsuas yog Zerban thiab Westlund.

Cov neeg nyob hauv tsev txaus siab rau qhov xav tsis thoob qhov kev xaiv tsa tshiab - 90 feem pua ​​​​hauv 2012 - thaum lub sijhawm keeb kwm qis kev pom zoo rau cov tswv cuab ntawm Congress. Yog li, tsis muaj qhov xav tsis thoob, qee tus neeg sib tw Wisconsin zoo li khiav tsis dhau rau Congress li tawm tsam nws.

"Zoo li koj, kuv nkees ntawm kev ua si uas cov thawj coj ntawm ob sab ntawm txoj kev ua si," Kurtz tshaj tawm ntawm nws website. Harrishais tias cov pej xeem raug kev txom nyem los ntawm "kev hais lus thiab kev ua haujlwm" hauv Washington. Thiab ZerbanHuRyan, tus neeg sawv cev ntawm Wisconsin tus neeg nrhiav nyiaj txiag saum toj kawg nkaus ntawm $ 7.2 lab, "qhov tseem ceeb ntawm Washington tsis ua haujlwm."

Westlund tau tshaj tawm cov phiaj xwm nyiaj txiag hloov kho ib qhov teeb meem tseem ceeb, hu rau kev hloov kho kev cai lij choj los tsim kom tau "cov koom haum tsis yog tib neeg thiab nyiaj tsis yog hais lus."

Hauv kev hais lus rau cov neeg xaiv tsa, Westlund tau tshaj tawm qhov kev pom zoo ntawm lub ntsiab lus no: "Thaum koj hais tias, 'Peb puas yuav tau txais nyiaj tawm ntawm kev nom kev tswv?' cov lus teb yog 'Yog' los ntawm txhua tus. "

Bill Lueders yog tus thawj coj ntawm Money and Politics Project ntawm Wisconsin Center for Investigative Journalism (www.wisconsinwatch.org). Lub Center tsim qhov project hauv kev koom tes nrog MapLight. Lub Chaw koom tes nrog Wisconsin Public Radio, Wisconsin Public TV, lwm yam xov xwm tshaj tawm thiab UW-Madison Tsev Kawm Ntawv ntawm Kev Sau Xov Xwm thiab Kev Sib Txuas Lus. Txhua yam haujlwm tsim, luam tawm, tshaj tawm lossis tshaj tawm los ntawm Lub Chaw tsis tas yuav cuam tshuam txog kev xav lossis kev xav ntawm UW-Madison lossis ib qho ntawm nws cov koom tes.

Kaw lub qhov rai X

Rov luam tawm tsab xov xwm no

Cov haujlwm no yog ntawv tso cai los ntawm a Cov Tswv Yim Muaj Peev Xwm Muaj Tshab-NoDeriv Txiaj Ntsig 4.0 International Daim Ntawv Tso Cai.

Scroll cia rau luam thiab muab cov lej ntawm peb tsab xov xwm rau hauv koj CMS. Cov lis dej num rau cov duab, duab thiab lwm yam embeddable hais yuav tsis hloov raws nraim li lawv tshwm sim ntawm peb lub xaib. Zoo siab txais tos rau republish peb cov lus rau free siv cov cai hauv qab no.

• Yuav tsum muab credit, hauv hom ntawv no: “Los ntawm Dee J. Hall, Wisconsin Watch”
• Yog tias luam tawm online, koj yuav tsum suav nrog cov ntawv txuas thiab txuas rau ntawm wisconsinwatch.org
• Yog tias koj qhia zaj dab neeg hauv social media, thov hu rau @wisconsinwatch (Twitter, Facebook thiab Instagram)
• Tsis txhob muag zaj dab neeg - nws yuav tsis raug muag raws li ib qho khoom lag luam.
• Tsis txhob muag tshaj tawm tawm tsam zaj dab neeg. Tab sis koj tuaj yeem luam tawm nws nrog kev tshaj tawm ua ntej muag.
• Koj lub vev xaib yuav tsum suav nrog txoj hauv kev tseem ceeb los tiv tauj koj.
• Cov ntsiab lus ntxiv uas tau ntim nrog peb zaj dab neeg yuav tsum tau sau npe.
• Cov neeg siv tuaj yeem rov luam tawm peb cov duab, duab kos duab, duab thiab ntau yam ntsiab lus tsuas yog nrog cov dab neeg uas lawv tau tshwm sim thawj zaug. Koj yuav tsis cais cov ntsiab lus multimedia rau kev siv ib leeg. 
• Yog tias peb xa koj daim ntawv thov hloov lossis tshem tawm Wisconsin Watch cov ntsiab lus ntawm koj lub xaib, koj yuav tsum pom zoo ua tam sim ntawd.

Yog xav paub ntxiv txog kev tshaj tawm cov cai, thov hu rau Andy Hall, tus thawj coj ua haujlwm, ntawm ahall@wisconsinwatch.org

Cov neeg sib tw hauv Congress vam tias yuav tawm tsam pundits

los ntawm Bill Lueders, Wisconsin Watch
Cuaj hlis 30, 2014

Cov neeg sib tw hauv Congress vam tias yuav tawm tsam pundits los ntawm Bill Lueders, Wisconsin Watch Cuaj hlis 1, 1 Hauv xov tooj cua Bill Lueders tham txog txoj hauv kev rau Wisconsin cov neeg sib tw ua nom ua tswv nrog Joy Cardin ntawm Wisconsin Public Radio, Kaum Hli Ntuj. 2, 2014. Tsis muaj leej twg nyob hauv Amelikas muaj kev ntseeg ntau dua rau kev ywj pheej dua li tus neeg sib tw tua ntev rau kev ua haujlwm rau pej xeem. Dan Sebring, tus neeg sib tw Republican rau Congress hauv Wisconsin lub District Democratic 4th District hais tias "Yog tias kuv tsis ntseeg tias kuv tuaj yeem yeej, kuv yuav tsis ua nws." “Los ntawm kuv qhov kev xav, muaj lub peev xwm siab heev uas nws tuaj yeem swb. Nws nyob ntawm qhov turnout. " "Nws" - Sebring tus neeg sib tw thaum Lub Kaum Ib Hlis. 4 — yog Rep. Gwen Moore, D-Milwaukee, tus thawj tswj hwm tsib lub sijhawm. Qhov no yog qhov kev xaiv tsa thib plaub uas nws tau tawm tsam nws. Nws qhov kev qhia zoo tshaj plaws yog 30 feem pua, hauv 2010 midterm. Txog rau Lub Xya Hli 23 nws tau nce txog $ 8,000, piv rau Moore tus $ 785,000. Sebring hais tias nws doggedness tau tshoov siab rau lwm tus, tab sis tsis yog vim li cas nws khiav. Nws xav tias cov pundits uas tso nws txoj hauv kev tsis yog lawm. class="wp-image-41046" height="300" width="197" /> Dan Sebring hais tias nws nyob hauv nws kom yeej. Tab sis cov pundits tau ua pov thawj zoo dua li cov neeg sib tw quixotic ntawm kev txiav txim siab xaiv tsa. Thiab ob qhov kev ntseeg siab heev, Cook Political Report thiab Sabato's Crystal Ball , hais tias tsuas yog ib qho ntawm Wisconsin yim lub rooj sib tham tseem muaj peev xwm ua si. (Tsis muaj Wisconsin Senate lub rooj xaiv tsa xyoo no.) Qhov kev sib tw ib leeg yog nyob rau hauv District 6, qhov twg GOP xeev Sen. Glenn Grothman thiab Democrat Mark Harris, tus thawj coj hauv Winnebago County, tab tom sib tw los hloov Republican Tom Petri, uas tau tuav lub rooj zaum rau 99340823 xyoo. Thiab txawm tias ntawm no cov pundits twv ua ntej GOP yeej, khaws cia lub xeev faib ntawm tsib Republicans thiab peb Democrats hauv Congress. Xyoo 2012, tom qab qhov kawg ntawm kev xaiv tsa ib thaj tsam, 6th District cov neeg xaiv tsa tau pom zoo rau Republican cov neeg sib tw rau tus thawj tswj hwm thiab Asmeskas. Senate los ntawm margins ntawm 54 thiab 55 feem pua, feem. Raws li cov ntaub ntawv kawg, Harris tau nce tsuas yog $ 60,000 rau Grothman tus $ 336,000, uas rau Grothman suav nrog kev sib tw nyuaj. Cov pundits peg lwm xya haiv neeg raws li cov lus xaus uas tau hais tseg - qhov kev txiav txim siab uas cov neeg sib tw tau mob siab rau forego. "Kuv muaj caij nyoog," hais rau Republican Tony Kurtz, uas tawm tsam Democrat Ron Kind hauv District 3. Ib tug tub rog 20 xyoo tub rog qub tub rog thiab cov neeg ua liaj ua teb organic, Kurtz tau ua haujlwm puv sijhawm txij li Lub Ib Hlis, tsav tsheb ntau dua 35,000 mais. Nws txaus siab rau nws txoj kev txhawb nqa hauv zej zog thiab txaus siab rau nws qhov kev nrhiav nyiaj txiag tsis ntev los no. Raws li kev tshaj tawm dhau los, Kurtz muaj $ 113,000 rau Kind tus $ 1.6 lab. Kelly Westlund, uas yog Democrats nyuaj Rep. Sean Duffy hauv Cheeb Tsam 7, kuj xav tias nws tuaj yeem yeej. Ib tus tswv lag luam me thiab yav dhau los tus tswv cuab ntawm Ashland City Council, Westlund tau nce ntau dua $ 300,000. Duffy tau nce $ 1.9 lab, ze li ib nrab ntawm pawg tswj hwm kev tswj hwm. Peb lwm cov Democrats tab tom nyuaj rau GOP incumbents: Rob Zerban tiv thaiv Paul Ryan hauv Cheeb Tsam 1, Chris Rockwood piv rau James Sensenbrenner hauv Cheeb Tsam 5, thiab Ron Gruett piv rau Reid Ribble hauv Cheeb Tsam 8. Thiab Republican Peter Theron tab tom noj Democrat Mark Pocan hauv Cheeb Tsam 2. Txog tam sim no lub voj voog no, xya tus neeg ua haujlwm tau koom ua ke nce $ 13.9 lab. Lawv cov neeg sib tw tau nce txog $ 1 lab, suav nrog $ 842,000 los ntawm tsuas yog Zerban thiab Westlund. Cov neeg nyob hauv tsev txaus siab rau qhov xav tsis thoob qhov kev xaiv tsa tshiab - 90 feem pua ​​​​hauv xyoo 2012 - thaum lub sijhawm muaj keeb kwm tsis zoo rau cov tswv cuab ntawm Congress. Yog li, tsis muaj qhov xav tsis thoob, qee tus neeg sib tw Wisconsin zoo li khiav tsis dhau rau Congress li tawm tsam nws. "Zoo li koj, Kuv nkees ntawm kev ua si uas cov thawj coj ntawm ob sab ntawm txoj kev ua si," Kurtz tshaj tawm ntawm nws lub vev xaib . Harris hais tias cov pej xeem tsis ua hauj lwm los ntawm "cov lus hais thiab kev txhawb nqa" hauv Washington. Thiab Zerban hu Ryan, Wisconsin tus neeg sawv cev sab saum toj nrhiav nyiaj txiag ntawm $ 7.2 lab, "qhov laj thawj tseem ceeb ntawm Washington tsis ua haujlwm." Westlund tau ua kom muaj kev sib tw nyiaj txiag hloov kho qhov teeb meem tseem ceeb , hu rau kev hloov kho kev cai lij choj los tsim kom tau "cov koom haum tsis yog tib neeg thiab nyiaj txiag tsis yog hais lus." Hauv kev hais lus rau cov neeg xaiv tsa, Westlund tau tshaj tawm qhov kev pom zoo ntawm lub ntsiab lus no: "Thaum koj hais tias, 'Peb puas yuav tau txais nyiaj tawm ntawm kev nom kev tswv?' cov lus teb yog 'Yog' los ntawm txhua tus. " Bill Lueders yog tus thawj coj ntawm Money and Politics Project ntawm Wisconsin Center for Investigative Journalism ( www.wisconsinwatch.org ). Lub Center tsim qhov project hauv kev koom tes nrog MapLight. Lub Chaw koom tes nrog Wisconsin Public Radio, Wisconsin Public TV, lwm yam xov xwm tshaj tawm thiab UW-Madison Tsev Kawm Ntawv ntawm Kev Sau Xov Xwm thiab Kev Sib Txuas Lus.

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