Gov. Scott Walker tau hais yog lawm: Cov neeg npau taws hauv Madison tsis tau qhia tag nrho zaj dab neeg ntawm Wisconsinites xav li cas.
Hauv lub asthiv tom qab Walker tshaj tawm nws txoj kev npaj yuav txo qis cov neeg ua haujlwm rau pej xeem cov cai sib tham sib tham hauv lub xeev daim nqi kho mob, feem ntau ntawm email rau nws tau hais txog kev txhawb nqa, kev tshuaj xyuas ntawm cov emails qhia.
Tab sis qhov kev txhawb nqa ntawd tau txhawb nqa ntau heev los ntawm emails los ntawm pro-Walker xa los ntawm sab nraud Wisconsin.
Wisconsin Center for Investigative Journalism tau tshuaj xyuas ib qho piv txwv hauv computer tsim los ntawm 1,910 emails los ntawm ntau dua 50,000 uas dej nyab Walker lub chaw ua haujlwm hauv lub lis piam tom qab nws nthuav tawm nws txoj kev npaj Thaum Lub Ob Hlis 11. Ze li ntawm txhua tus muaj feem cuam tshuam nrog daim nqi.
Cov emails tau tshaj tawm hnub Friday raws li qhov tshwm sim ntawm kev qhib cov ntaub ntawv foob coj hauv Dane County Circuit Court los ntawm Isthmus ntawv xov xwm thiab Wisconsin Associated Press. A sib hais haum mus txog lub asthiv dhau los xav kom tus tswv xeev tsim cov emails thiab them tus neeg foob cov nqi raug cai, uas tag nrho tsuas yog $ 7,000.
Raws li qhov kev thov ntawm Isthmus, Lub Chaw soj ntsuam cov emails. Ib pab neeg ntawm cov neeg sau xov xwm tau nkag mus rau txhua tus email hauv cov qauv xws li lossis tawm tsam daim nqi, tsis meej lossis tsis cuam tshuam. Lawv kuj tau sau tseg qhov chaw ntawm tus neeg xa khoom thaum ua tau.
Ntawm cov emails cuam tshuam nrog daim nqi, 62 feem pua tau txhawb nqa nws, thaum 32 feem pua tawm nws. Cov npoo ntawm qhov yuam kev rau Lub Chaw qhov qauv loj yog ntxiv lossis rho tawm 2.3 feem pua cov ntsiab lus.
Cov feem pua zoo li Walker tus cwj pwm ntawm cov emails thaum Lub Ob Hlis 17, thaum nws qhia reporters hais tias "feem ntau yog qhia peb kom nyob ruaj khov, muaj zog, sawv nrog cov neeg them se."
Cov feem pua tau muddied los ntawm qhov tseeb tias qee tus neeg tau sau ntau dua ib tus email - qee zaum ntau ntxiv. Lub Chaw khiav ib tsab ntawv hauv computer ntawm tag nrho cov emails thiab pom tsawg kawg yog 47,752 email chaw nyob tshwj xeeb. Tus neeg muaj txiaj ntsig tshaj plaws tau xa tsawg kawg 252 cov lus tawm tsam daim nqi.
Tsab cai lij choj tau tshaj tawm Lub Ob Hlis 11, tau hais kom tshem tawm feem ntau cov cai sib tham sib tham rau 175,000 tus neeg ua haujlwm hauv xeev thiab cov pej xeem hauv nroog hauv lub xeev thiab ua rau muaj kev tawm tsam loj heev. Tau ze li plaub lub lis piam, kaum tawm txhiab tus neeg tawm tsam tau puv lub Capitol Square.
Walker tseem tsis tau txav los ntawm kev tawm tsam.
"Peb yuav tsis tso cai rau ib feeb kom cov neeg tawm tsam xav tias lawv tuaj yeem cuam tshuam cov suab ntawm ntau lab tus neeg them se thoob plaws lub xeev Wisconsin," Walker tau hais rau Lub Ob Hlis 18.
Hauv kev hu xov tooj rau Lub Ob Hlis 22 nrog ib tus blogger ua tus neeg nplua nuj David Koch, yog ib tus ntawm Walker tus pab txhawb nqa loj tshaj plaws, Walker hais uas ib sab Wisconsin cov kws qhia ntawv, cov neeg tawm tsam tau "feem ntau tuaj ntawm lub xeev, thiab kuv pheej tso nws tawm hauv kuv lub rooj sib tham xov xwm hais tias, 'Eh, lawv feem ntau yog tawm hauv xeev.' ”
Qhov tseeb, feem coob ntawm cov neeg uas tau sau ntawv tawm tsam nws daim nqi yog los ntawm Wisconsin, thaum feem ntau ntawm Walker cov neeg txhawb nqa email yog los ntawm lub xeev, qhuas Walker rau kev noj "sib koom neeg thugs" thiab tswj kev siv nyiaj.

Cov emails txhawb nqa los ntawm tsawg kawg 45 lub xeev thiab Cheeb Tsam ntawm Columbia, thiab plaub lub tebchaws.
"Cov neeg Amelikas tiag tiag sawv nrog koj," ib tsab xov tau hais. "Peb nyob hauv Texas nkag siab koj lub siab."
Ntawm qhov Center qhov kev tshawb pom:
- Ntawm 1,493 emails ntawm daim nqi uas tus neeg xa khoom qhov chaw pom tseeb, Lub Chaw pom tias ib feem peb ntawm Walker cov kev txhawb nqa tuaj ntawm sab nraud lub xeev.
- Yim caum cuaj feem pua ntawm email tawm tsam Walker tuaj ntawm Wisconsinites.
- Cov neeg xa email tawm hauv xeev tau dhau los txhawb nqa Walker, 85 feem pua rau 15 feem pua, lossis cov npoo ntawm ze li 6 txog 1.
- Thaum Lub Chaw saib tsuas yog email los ntawm Wisconsin, cov paj tau qis dua, nrog 55 feem pua nyiam nws daim nqi thiab 42 feem pua tsis pom zoo.
"Yog li, qhov tseeb, qhov no yog ze rau qhov nws tau hais," Charles Franklin, tus xibfwb ntawm kev tshawb fawb txog nom tswv hauv University of Wisconsin-Madison tau hais.
Franklin tau sau tseg tias cov paj laum yog "thib ntus, qhov hloov pauv ntawm qhov peb tau pom hauv kev xaiv tsa tswv yim" los ntawm ob qho tib si conservative thiab liberal outfits uas qhia tias feem ntau cov neeg pov npav tsis pom zoo rau Walker txoj kev npaj. Tias yog vim hais tias nyob deb ntawm kev ua piv txwv ntawm pej xeem, cov emails no los ntawm cov neeg uas tau mob siab rau sau rau Walker.
Franklin tau hais tias "Nws tsis yog qhov yuam kev los hais tias qhov sib npaug ntawm lawv txhawb nqa nws txoj haujlwm," Franklin hais. "Nws tsuas yog tias tsis muaj laj thawj los nthuav tawm qhov ntawd rau lub xeev tag nrho."
Dhavan Shah, tus kws tshaj lij ntawm UW-Madison uas ua haujlwm ntawm Lub Chaw Tshawb Fawb Kev Sib Txuas Lus, hais tias cov pej xeem tau paub ntau ntxiv txog daim nqi cov ntsiab lus tom qab Lub Ob Hlis 18. Thiab qee qhov xwm txheej tsis sib haum xeeb - xws li kev pov npav tam sim no ntawm daim nqi nrog tsawg tshaj li ob teev 'kev ceeb toom - tshwm sim tom qab ntawd.
"Ntawm no yog qhov kev tshuaj ntsuam kuv xav pom: seb tus lej hloov mus deb ntawm Walker hauv lub lis piam tom qab, uas kuv xav tias lawv ua," nws tau sau hauv email.
Muaj pov thawj ntawm kev npaj phiaj xwm ntawm ob tog.
Ib tsab ntawv pro-Walker tau xa tsawg kawg yog 174 zaug hais tias, "Cov kev ntsuas tau muab tso rau hauv daim nqi no tsis yooj yim lossis tsis mob, tab sis lawv tsim nyog yog tias lub xeev yuav tsum hais ncaj ncees rau nws cov nyiaj txiag tsis txaus $ 3.6 billion thiab tsim kom muaj kev nyab xeeb nyiaj txiag tsim nyog. kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam thiab kev tsim haujlwm. "
Thiab ib tsab email tawm tsam Walker xa tsawg kawg yog 674 zaug nyeem, "Lub Capitol yog cov cuab yeej ntawm cov neeg Wisconsin thiab yuav tsum ua haujlwm rau kev noj qab haus huv thiab kev noj qab haus huv ntawm tib neeg."
Cov emails yog qhov tshwm sim ntawm Lub Ob Hlis 18 qhib-cov ntaub ntawv thov los ntawm Isthmus thiab AP rau email tau txais los ntawm tus tswv xeev lub chaw ua haujlwm hauv teb rau daim nqi kho mob. Lub chaw ua haujlwm tsis teb, ua rau Isthmus thiab AP xa email rov qab.
Cov lus thov tsis tau teb rau hnub Friday, Lub Peb Hlis 4, ob teev tom qab foob foob. Lub chaw ua haujlwm tau hais tias cov lus teb tau sau tseg tab sis tsis tau xa mus vim "kev saib xyuas tus neeg saib xyuas."
Cov nonprofit Wisconsin Center rau Kev Tshawb Xyuas Xov Xwm (www.WisconsinWatch.org) koom tes nrog Wisconsin Cov Xov Xwm Zej Tsoom, Wisconsin Cov Xov Xwm Rau Pej Xeem, lwm cov xov xwm tshaj tawm thiab UW-Madison Tsev Kawm Ntawv Xov Xwm thiab Kev Sib Txuas Lus. Txhua yam haujlwm tsim, tshaj tawm, tshaj tawm lossis tshaj tawm los ntawm Lub Chaw tsis tas yuav cuam tshuam cov kev xav lossis kev xav ntawm UW-Madison lossis ib qho ntawm cov koom tes.
Tab sis, tab sis, kuv xav tias CBS qhov kev xaiv tsa tau hais tias feem coob coob tau txhawb nqa kev sib tham sib tham rau cov xibfwb….
Yog li vim li cas nws tseem ceeb tias e mails tuaj ntawm lub xeev. Muaj pes tsawg tus neeg tawm tsam uas tawm hauv lub nroog qhov kev ntxhov siab yog los ntawm lub xeev ... yuav thiab them nyiaj los ntawm koj lub koomhaum them cov neeg..
Kuv paub tseeb tias tus naj npawb ntawm cov neeg tawm tsam hauv lub xeev deb tshaj tus naj npawb ntawm cov email txhawb nqa los ntawm lub xeev. Cov xov xwm tau ua txoj haujlwm zoo tshaj plaws ntawm kev ua qhov teeb meem no zoo li yog cov neeg Asmeskas feem coob nrog cov koom haum thug. Cov neeg feem coob muaj lub siab ncaj ncees—thiab paub tias cov koom haum tau thawb cov neeg them se mus deb heev.
Yog li ntawd, Gov. Walker qhia qhov tseeb. Qhov ntawd yuav tsum yog lub ntsiab lus.
"E-mail Analysis Paub meej tias Walker Kev Ncaj Ncees."
"Thaum Lub Tsev Haujlwm tsuas yog saib cov emails los ntawm Wisconsin, cov paj tau qis dua, nrog 55 feem pua nyiam nws daim nqi thiab 42 feem pua tsis pom zoo ... yog li, qhov tseeb, qhov no yog ze rau qhov nws tau hais," Charles Franklin, tus xibfwb ntawm kev nom kev tswv. kev tshawb fawb ntawm University of Wisconsin-Madison."
Saib dev kuv arse.
Tej zaum kuv yuav plam ib yam dab tsi los yog ua kuv lej yuam kev?
"Thaum Lub Tsev Haujlwm tsuas yog saib cov emails los ntawm Wisconsin, cov paj tau qis dua, nrog 55 feem pua nyiam nws daim nqi thiab 42 feem pua tsis pom zoo."
1910 e-mails suav nrog.
62% kev them nyiaj yug = 1184
32% tawm tsam = 611
67% (ntawm 1184) kev txhawb nqa hauv xeev = 793
89% (ntawm 611) hauv-xeev tawm tsam = 544
793 + = 544 1337
793/1337 = 59.3% ntawm kev txhawb nqa hauv xeev
544/1337 = 40.7% ntawm kev tawm tsam hauv xeev
Tshwj tsis yog tias koj saib tag nrho cov feem pua ntawm kev lees paub / tawm tsam (1795 = 94% (62% + 32%) ntawm 1910), qhov twg koj tau txais 793/1795 = 44% thiab 544/1795 = 30%.
Txawm li cas los xij, 55/42 tsis zoo, tab sis kuv tsuas yog kawm lej (engineers nyiam ua li ntawd, koj paub) yog li tej zaum kuv yog rusty me ntsis?
Nyob zoo Geministar, ua tsaug rau qhov no. Nov yog cov ntaub ntawv ntau dua li qhov koj xav tau tiag tiag, tab sis txij li thaum koj nug ... Cov feem pua ntawm cov ntaub ntawv sib txawv; peb tsuas yog txheeb xyuas qhov chaw rau 80 feem pua ntawm cov qauv cuam tshuam nrog daim nqi, lossis 1493 emails. (Cov txheej txheem loj dua yog qhov tseeb xyoo 1910 - 1865 uas muaj feem cuam tshuam nrog daim nqi, txawm li cas los xij.)
Ntawm 1078 cov emails cuam tshuam los ntawm WI pej xeem, peb pom 598 rau daim nqi, 451 tawm tsam, 29 tsis meej.
Ntawm 400 tawm-ntawm-tus neeg sau txog daim nqi, peb tau txais 339 rau daim nqi thiab 58 tawm tsam nws.
Crunch deb. - Kate Golden
BTW, 55/42 yog * tsis * ib tug slim margin. Kaum peb feem pua yog qhov tseem ceeb zoo nkauj thaum koj xav txog qhov sib txawv ntawm kev xaiv tsa feem ntau yog 2-3%, yog li ntawm qhov sib piv 13% yog qhov 'dhau' feem ntau siv cov hyperbole ntawm kab lus no.
"Tus neeg muaj txiaj ntsig tshaj plaws tau xa tsawg kawg 252 cov lus tawm tsam daim nqi."
Aw, c'mon. Qhia peb seb nws yog leej twg!
Nws yog ib lo lus nug ntawm seb cov neeg them se yuav tsum ua lawv tus kheej rau tsoomfwv cov koom haum ua haujlwm nyob rau hauv perpetuity. Kuv xav tias cov neeg them se Wisconsin feem ntau - zoo li feem ntau cov neeg them se nyob txhua qhov chaw - tsis xav ua li ntawd.
Kuv xav kom muaj kev xaiv tsa ncaj ncees dua uas tshem tawm cov nqe lus uas tsis txaus siab rau cov neeg koom siab ua haujlwm, lwm zaus cov neeg xaiv tsa thauj lawv cov riam phom PR.
Raws li ib tug tswv cuab ntawm cov lag luam poob nyiaj, xeev, thiab cov nroog tuaj yeem lees paub: cov koom haum tsis paub thaum twg yuav tsum tsis txhob noj lub neej tawm ntawm lawv cov tswv.
Tsis muaj surprises ntawm no. Hauv av hauv Wisconsin, ib txwm muaj feem ntau ntawm cov neeg them se tau txais kev txhawb nqa zoo ntawm daim nqi, txawm tias muaj kev sib koom ua ke tawm tsam peb.
@ Bob, qhov kev xaiv tsa ntawd tau ua tiav tom qab lub sijhawm ib lub lim tiam ntawm cov emails no thiab tau sau los ntawm Wisconsinites, tsis yog tib neeg sau rau hauv tus tswv xeev lossis cov neeg tawm hauv xeev.
Kuv nyiam nws
Yog li, thaum Rachel Maddow ranted hais tias cov e-mails yog "tiag tiag" 5-1 tawm tsam, nws tau dag dhau ntawm nws cov hniav dua?
Lawv tsuas yog coj tus qauv, lwm pab pawg zoo li APt saib TAG NRHO cov emails, tag nrho 50,000 ntxiv thiab lawv pom cov npoo loj dua rau daim nqi. Nws yuav nthuav kom pom tias cov tib neeg yuav hais li cas tam sim no peb paub qhov tseeb txog kev txiav nyiaj txiag uas tsis muaj dab tsi ua nrog kev tsim cov haujlwm lossis txuag nyiaj tab sis txhua yam hais txog kev muab kev pabcuam pej xeem thiab thawb Cov Hnub Nyoog Tsaus Ntuj. Walker thiab Fitzgerald peb yuav muaj lawv hnub thaum lawv raug tshem tawm ntawm kev pabcuam pej xeem. Yog lawm lawv ua hauj lwm ntawm cov neeg lub siab nyiam tsis yog lwm txoj hauv kev.
Kuv paub qhov no yog "tom qab qhov tseeb" ntawm koj zaj dab neeg hais txog email kev txhawb nqa rau Mr. Walker, tab sis kuv ntseeg tias qhov kev xaiv tsa tsis qhia txhua qhov tseeb !!! Kuv yog Wisconsinite uas email tawm tsam Mr. Walker daim nqi. Thaum kuv kawm txog nws cov lus hais kom mus tom ntej, Kuv TAM SIM NO tig kuv mus rau "Wisconsin 14" thiab tau xa email rau lawv los txhawb kev sib ntaus! Nws xav tias tsis muaj txiaj ntsig rau email rau Mr. Walker ib qho ntxiv vim nws twb zoo li khoov ntawm nws qhov kev tawm tsam ntawm Unions. Qhov ntawd yog qhov tseeb tiag uas nws tsis hnov los ntawm feem ntau ntawm Wisconsinites!